B.J. Penn only has 3 losses on his record, all of them by Decision as well. I don't see Matt Hughes being able to sub him or winning via ground and pound. Matt has become a better fighter but his gameplan always stay's the same, look for the takedown, ground and pound or get a submission in. His standup is not really that great and looks to get huge slams and ground and pound. If BJ Penn keeps the fight standing somehow he could possibly KO or TKO Matt Hughes. Either way it goes it's going to be a great match and if BJ Penn loses there will be a rubber match.
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